Mathematics · Grades 6–10
Probability: what a result does and does not show
Equal counting works only when the individual outcomes are equally likely.
Understand the idea
Count the sample space
Equal counting works only when the individual outcomes are equally likely.
Long-run versus one trial
A probability is not a promise about the next result or a small number of trials.
Examples and reasoning
A fair six-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of an even number as a simplest fraction?
1/2
1/2
A fair six-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of a result greater than 4?
1/3
1/3
Check your understanding
A fair coin lands heads three times. The next independent toss has head probability
- 1
- 0
- 1/2
- 3/4
An event cannot happen in the defined sample space. Its probability is
- 2
- 0
- −1
- 1
An event is certain in the defined sample space. Its probability is
- 1
- −1
- 100 as a decimal probability
- 0
Why does counting red regions on a spinner not work if the regions have unequal angles?
Answers and marking notes
Answers and marking notes
- 1/2
1/2
- 0
0
- 1
1
- Different regions may have different probabilities; their angular sizes, not just their count, matter in an ideal uniform spinner.
Different regions may have different probabilities; their angular sizes, not just their count, matter in an ideal uniform spinner.
Learning preview · teacher review required. Grade bands are approximate, not official curriculum alignment.